Super Righteous Player -
Chapter 486 - 27 The Speech of the Delicious Feng Goose_1
Chapter 486: Chapter 27 The Speech of the Delicious Feng Goose_1
Annan turned his attention back to the live broadcast of the Delectable Wind Goose.
Clearly...just one night had passed, and their three identities had already been completely exposed.
Although he had deduced that the key to this game was "incitement."
That is to say, dragging others down with them.
So, their victory condition was no longer hiding their identity...but to use various means and words, enticing others to start killing as well.
But the core difficulty of this game did not lie in rhetoric.
— It lay in "time."
In each phase, there was less than five minutes to think. The average participant in this ritual could not make immediate decisions in each round—they must have a certain "inertia."
Which is to say, almost everyone would adopt the dull response strategy of "keeping decisions unchanged until a certain point is reached."
At the same time, due to insufficient public communication time, the method of "convincing others with logical reasoning" to gain the right to speak was nearly impossible to achieve.
Under such conditions, people would tend to make decisions based on instinct.
Conversely, as long as a sense of urgency was created.
The decisive [switch] would be pressed.
Annan narrowed his eyes slightly.
Whether discussing the possibilities of the opponent’s behavior on the logical level or the rationality of the opponent’s actions on the human level, there will be errors. To grasp someone else’s behavior patterns in advance, you first have to determine their strategy.
If you don’t know what the other person wants, you won’t be able to guess what they will do.
"...What is unknown is when Delectable Wind Goose will realize this."
The biggest difference between this game and tabletop games is that it really could cause death.
Even though it was just a nightmare.
But a nightmare is an abstraction of historical records—it certainly has differences from reality; however, its prototype story has definitely occurred at least once in reality.
"—Once the outcome of the game will determine one’s life or death, everyone will choose a relatively safe and conservative strategy when calm.
"—Unless they are first driven to lose their sanity."
Longjing Tea wrote rapidly in the bullet comments.
Even though the outcome of this game was unrelated to whether their identities were exposed or not, their conversations with each other the first night significantly reduced the credibility of their words.
Without knowing who to vote out, bystanders would naturally prioritize voting out these three people first.
Because there were precisely three of them.
The game lasted for three days and four nights, excluding the first day when nothing could be done, which was exactly three rounds. This meant that the players could only vote out, and were restricted to, three people.
This was a critical equilibrium point for a dominant strategy.
As long as even four people contacted each other during the first day, it could break this equilibrium. Because they could only vote out three people, there was always a possibility that one person could kill two others without being voted out.
"—After all, only three of you entered the game, and you didn’t communicate with the bystanders on the first day. This led directly to your isolation on the second day. The most correct approach would have been to group up and talk to strangers on the first day...the content doesn’t matter, the key is to ’form alliances’ to divide them, making them suspicious of each other,"
Longjing Tea, who had quickly grasped the rules, was rapidly instructing Delectable Wind Goose.
It was a pity that only Old Goose was live streaming; otherwise, Longjing Tea felt that he could even handle three streams at once, directly controlling their completion of the match.
However, considering that only Delectable Wind Goose could see his words, and it was unlikely they would have much chance to communicate anymore...even though Longjing Tea had already guessed all the rules and tactics, he was still unable to ensure victory.
But Delicious Wind Goose’s gaze had already firmed up.
He had understood.
He knew what he had done wrong...
—and was trying to make amends.
Soon, it was Delicious Wind Goose’s turn to speak.
Defu’s previous remarks were just to muddy the waters temporarily. But if he couldn’t come up with some kind of game-changing statement, the final outcome would still be the three of them being voted off.
He fell silent for a moment.
Then he slowly answered:
"—I am not a civilian.
"Claiming I was a civilian in the first round was to protect the civilians in the game from being killed.
"And my true identity... is that of an Idol Wizard."
After saying this, Delicious Wind Goose calmly said, "You can choose to vote me out now if you want, but that would be meaningless. The rest of you don’t even need to speak, because the murderer has already won. If you don’t believe me, listen to my analysis—"
He could almost imagine the looks of shock and uncertainty on the others’ faces.
"If I expose myself this round, then I will definitely use my ability tonight and without defense, I will be killed immediately; if I don’t expose myself, I would definitely be voted out tomorrow.
"So for me, as long as I don’t come forward, I’m certain to die. That’s why I’m revealing my identity.
"My only condition for survival is if you choose not to vote me out for the time being, and I take the initiative to kill someone and switch sides as soon as night falls. That way, even if I ’die’ temporarily, as long as the faction I belong to wins, I won’t have to die.
"Why do I say that the murderer has already won?
"The condition is simple, as long as the person who kills me tonight is not the same person who murdered last night... then by the third day, two people will have met the victory condition of ’killing two people.’ The good side can only choose to vote out the one I’ve highlighted.
"Thus, even if the number of murderers doesn’t increase, there will definitely be one victor alive entering the fourth day. Considering this, the bad side’s chances of winning are already greater than 50%—so, whoever wants to switch sides in time must make their move on the second night and take a head."
"This way, even in the most chaotic third night, maintain a defensive state and secure the ultimate victory. As long as not two people kill the same one, as long as the ’victor’ successfully hides their identity, it is a guaranteed condition for victory—at that time, half the people would have killed, and Decree Wizard and Prophet Wizard’s abilities would have been useless already because what they would want to do is not to protect themselves but to hide the ’victor’."
Delicious Wind Goose spoke the devil-like reasoning in a steady voice, methodically.
Without a doubt.
—He was bluffing.
Delicious Wind Goose did not know whether the eliminated would die immediately or only after the final tally; because "at least one person surviving" was their victory condition as players in the game, other people’s conditions may not be the same.
He was just taking a gamble.
Sitting still would surely lead to death.
But if he successfully confused the situation, the outcome might not be so certain.
"What if the victor is mistakenly killed on the third night? It’s simple: on the third night, everyone should strike and kill. If the person who took a head on the second night opts to defend themselves, they could also likely be attacked by multiple people and die on the third night.
"...This way, the chances of winning whether defending or attacking on the third night are the same."
—Of course, this was also nonsense.
Without a doubt, if Delicious Wind Goose were truly the Prophet Wizard, then killing on the second day and defending on the third day would statistically be the strategy with the highest chance of winning.
But by this point... who cares about such details anymore?
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